Charles F. Manski

Curriculum Vitae


Short Biography


Some Autobiographical Reflections: Unlearning and Discovery




Forthcoming Articles


Communicating Uncertainty in Official Economic Statistics: An Appraisal Fifty Years after Morgenstern, Journal of Economic Literature


Randomizing Regulatory Approval for Diversification and Deterrence, Journal of Legal Studies


Using Elicited Choice Probabilities in Hypothetical Elections to Study Decisions to Vote, with A. Delavande, Electoral Studies




Working Papers


The Quantile Performance of Statistical Treatment Rules Using Hypothesis Tests to Allocate a Population to Two Treatments, with Aleksey Tetenov


Vaccine Approvals and Mandates under Uncertainty: Some Simple Analytics


Interpreting Point Predictions: Some Logical Issues


Credible Interval Estimates for Official Statistics with Survey Nonresponse



Links to Books


C. Manski, Public Policy in an Uncertain World: Analysis and Decisions, Harvard University Press, 2013


Link to video recording of public lecture on the book at the British Academy in March 2013, with discussion by Lord Gus O’Donnell


Link to video recording of Sargan Lecture to economists on themes of the book at the Royal Economic Society meeting in April 2013


Link to video recording of Cemmap Masterclass on themes of the book in March 2013  (six 90-minute lectures)


C. Manski, Identification for Prediction and Decision, Harvard University Press, 2007


C. Manski, Social Choice with Partial Knowledge of Treatment Response, Princeton University Press, 2005.


C. Manski, Partial Identification of Probability Distributions, Springer-Verlag, 2003


C. Manski, J. Pepper, and C. Petrie (editors), Informing America's Policy on Illegal Drugs: What We Don't Know Keeps Hurting Us, National Academy Press, 2001 (book can be read online)


B. Fischhoff and C. Manski (editors), Elicitation of Preferences, Kluwer, 2000


C. Manski, Identification Problems in the Social Sciences, Harvard, 1995


C. Manski and I. Garfinkel (editors), Evaluating Welfare and Training Programs, Harvard, 1992


C. Manski, Analog Estimation Methods in Econometrics, Chapman & Hall, 1988

(out-of-print book can be downloaded for private use)


C. Manski and D. Wise College Choice in America, Harvard, 1983


C. Manski and D. McFadden (editors), Structural Analysis of Discrete Data with Econometric Applications, MIT Press, 1981 (out-of-print book can be downloaded for private use)


Samuil Manski, With God’s Help, 1990 (book can be downloaded for private use)





Economics 480-1, Introduction to Econometrics, Fall 2014 (first-year Ph.D. course), past examinations


Economics 483, Cross-Sectional Methods, Fall 2014 (Ph.D. field course)


Economics 480-3, Introduction to Econometrics, Spring 2015 (first-year Ph.D. course)



The Survey of Economic Expectations


SEE Introduction


SEE Data and Codebooks