Charles F. Manski

Curriculum Vitae

Short Biography

Some Autobiographical Reflections: Unlearning and Discovery

Forthcoming Publications

Assessing the Temporal Variation of Macroeconomic Forecasts by a Panel of Changing Composition,

with J. Engelberg and J. Williams, Journal of Applied Econometrics

When Consensus Choice Dominates Individualism:

Jensens Inequality and Collective Decisions under Uncertainty

Quantitative Economics

Interpreting and Combining Heterogeneous Survey Forecasts

in M. Clements and D. Hendry (editors), Oxford Handbook on Economic Forecasting

Probabilistic Polling and Voting in the 2008 Presidential Election:

Evidence from the American Life Panel, with A. Delavande

Public Opinion Quarterly

Actualist Rationality

Theory and Decision, forthcoming in print, now published online (click here)

Working Papers

Genes, Eyeglasses, and Social Policy

Policy Analysis with Incredible Certitude

Measuring Consumer Uncertainty About Future Inflation,

with W. Bruine de Bruin, G. Topa, and W. van der Klaauw

Choosing Treatment Policies under Ambiguity

Identification of Treatment Response with Social Interactions

Policy Choice with Partial Knowledge of Policy Effectiveness

Random Utility Models with Bounded Ambiguity

Competitive Lending with Partial Knowledge of Loan Repayment, with W. Brock

Measuring and Interpreting Expectations of Equity Returns, with J. Dominitz

Courses

Economics 480-1, Introduction to Econometrics, Fall 2009 (first-year Ph.D. course)

past examinations

The Survey of Economic Expectations

SEE Introduction

SEE Data and Codebooks

Software

Bounds for Matlab: Program Zip File (BOUNDS_MATLAB) ; Documentation(BOUNDS_MATLAB)

Bounds for STATA: Program Zip File (BOUNDS_STATA) ; Documentation(BOUNDS_STATA)

Links to Books

C. Manski, Identification for Prediction and Decision, Harvard University Press, 2007

C. Manski, Social Choice with Partial Knowledge of Treatment Response, Princeton University Press, 2005.

C. Manski, Partial Identification of Probability Distributions, Springer-Verlag, 2003

C. Manski, J. Pepper, and C. Petrie (editors), Informing America's Policy on Illegal Drugs: What We Don't Know Keeps Hurting Us, National Academy Press, 2001 (book can be read online)

B. Fischhoff and C. Manski (editors), Elicitation of Preferences, Kluwer, 2000

C. Manski, Identification Problems in the Social Sciences, Harvard, 1995

C. Manski and I. Garfinkel (editors), Evaluating Welfare and Training Programs, Harvard, 1992

C. Manski, Analog Estimation Methods in Econometrics, Chapman & Hall, 1988

(out-of-print book can be downloaded for private use)

C. Manski and D. Wise College Choice in America, Harvard, 1983

C. Manski and D. McFadden (editors), Structural Analysis of Discrete Data with Econometric Applications, MIT Press, 1981 (out-of-print book can be downloaded for private use)

Samuil Manski, With Gods Help, 1990 (book can be downloaded for private use)