Charles F. Manski

Curriculum Vitae


Short Biography


Some Autobiographical Reflections: Unlearning and Discovery




Forthcoming Articles


Survey Measures of Family Decision Processes for Econometric Analysis of Schooling Decisions, with Pamela Giustinelli, Economic Inquiry


Mandating Vaccination with Unknown Indirect Effects, Journal of Public Economics Theory


More Data or Better Data? A Statistical Decision Problem, with Jeff Dominitz, Review of Economic Studies


Optimize, Satisfice, or Choose without Deliberation: A Minimax-Regret Assessment, Theory and Decision


How Do Right-To-Carry Laws Affect Crime Rates? Coping With Ambiguity Using Bounded-Variation Assumptions, with John Pepper, Review of Economics and Statistics



Working Papers


Survey Measurement of Probabilistic Macroeconomic Expectations: Progress and Promise


Credible Ecological Inference for Personalized Medicine: Formalizing Clinical Judgment


The Quantile Performance of Statistical Treatment Rules Using Hypothesis Tests to Allocate a Population to Two Treatments, with Aleksey Tetenov




Links to Books


C. Manski, Public Policy in an Uncertain World: Analysis and Decisions, Harvard University Press, 2013


Link to video recording of public lecture on the book at the British Academy in March 2013, with discussion by Lord Gus O’Donnell


Link to video recording of Sargan Lecture to economists on themes of the book at the Royal Economic Society meeting in April 2013


Link to video recording of Cemmap Masterclass on themes of the book in March 2013  (six 90-minute lectures)


C. Manski, Identification for Prediction and Decision, Harvard University Press, 2007


C. Manski, Social Choice with Partial Knowledge of Treatment Response, Princeton University Press, 2005.


C. Manski, Partial Identification of Probability Distributions, Springer-Verlag, 2003


C. Manski, J. Pepper, and C. Petrie (editors), Informing America's Policy on Illegal Drugs: What We Don't Know Keeps Hurting Us, National Academy Press, 2001 (book can be read online)


B. Fischhoff and C. Manski (editors), Elicitation of Preferences, Kluwer, 2000


C. Manski, Identification Problems in the Social Sciences, Harvard, 1995


C. Manski and I. Garfinkel (editors), Evaluating Welfare and Training Programs, Harvard, 1992


C. Manski, Analog Estimation Methods in Econometrics, Chapman & Hall, 1988

(out-of-print book can be downloaded for private use)


C. Manski and D. Wise College Choice in America, Harvard, 1983


C. Manski and D. McFadden (editors), Structural Analysis of Discrete Data with Econometric Applications, MIT Press, 1981 (out-of-print book can be downloaded for private use)


Samuil Manski, With God’s Help, 1990 (book can be downloaded for private use)





Economics 480-1, Introduction to Econometrics, Fall 2016 (first-year Ph.D. course), past examinations


Economics 336, Analytical Methods for Public Policy, Fall 2016 (undergraduate elective course)



The Survey of Economic Expectations


SEE Introduction


SEE Data and Codebooks