Charles F. Manski

Curriculum Vitae

Short Biography

Some Autobiographical Reflections: Unlearning and Discovery

Forthcoming Publications

Using Elicited Choice Probabilities to Estimate Random Utility Models:

Preferences for Electricity Reliability, with A. Blass and S. Lach

International Economic Review

Rounding Probabilistic Expectations in Surveys, with F. Molinari

Journal of Business and Economic Statistics

Diversified Policy Choice with Partial Knowledge of Policy Effectiveness

Journal of Research on Educational Effectiveness

Actualist Rationality

Theory and Decision, forthcoming in print, now published online (click here)

Working Papers

Interpreting and Combining Heterogeneous Survey Forecasts

Vaccination with Partial Knowledge of External Effectiveness

Identification of Treatment Response with Social Interactions

Probabilistic Polling and Voting in the 2008 Presidential Election:

Evidence from the American Life Panel, with A. Delavande

When Consensus Choice Dominates Individualism:

JensenМs Inequality and Collective Decisions under Uncertainty

Competitive Lending with Partial Knowledge of Loan Repayment, with W. Brock

Assessing the Temporal Variation of Macroeconomic Forecasts by a Panel of Changing Composition, with J. Engelberg and J. Williams

Measuring and Interpreting Expectations of Equity Returns, with J. Dominitz

Courses

Economics 480-1, Introduction to Econometrics, Fall 2009 (first-year Ph.D. course)

past examinations

Economics 336, Analytical Methods for Public Policy, Fall 2009 (undergraduate field course)

The Survey of Economic Expectations

SEE Introduction

SEE Data and Codebooks

Software

Bounds for Matlab: Program Zip File (BOUNDS_MATLAB) ; Documentation(BOUNDS_MATLAB)

Bounds for STATA: Program Zip File (BOUNDS_STATA) ; Documentation(BOUNDS_STATA)

Links to Books

C. Manski, Identification for Prediction and Decision, Harvard University Press, 2007

C. Manski, Social Choice with Partial Knowledge of Treatment Response, Princeton University Press, 2005.

C. Manski, Partial Identification of Probability Distributions, Springer-Verlag, 2003

C. Manski, J. Pepper, and C. Petrie (editors), Informing America's Policy on Illegal Drugs: What We Don't Know Keeps Hurting Us, National Academy Press, 2001 (book can be read online)

B. Fischhoff and C. Manski (editors), Elicitation of Preferences, Kluwer, 2000

C. Manski, Identification Problems in the Social Sciences, Harvard, 1995

C. Manski and I. Garfinkel (editors), Evaluating Welfare and Training Programs, Harvard, 1992

C. Manski, Analog Estimation Methods in Econometrics, Chapman & Hall, 1988

(out-of-print book can be downloaded for private use)

C. Manski and D. Wise College Choice in America, Harvard, 1983

C. Manski and D. McFadden (editors), Structural Analysis of Discrete Data with Econometric Applications, MIT Press, 1981 (out-of-print book can be downloaded for private use)

Samuil Manski, With Gods Help, 1990 (book can be downloaded for private use)