Further information at charlesmanski.com
Estimating the COVID-19 Infection Rate: Anatomy of an Inference Problem, with Francesca Molinari, Journal of Econometrics, 2021
Adaptive Diversification of COVID-19 Policy, VoxEU, June 12, 2020
Statistical Decision Properties of Imprecise Trials Assessing COVID-19 Drugs, with Aleksey Tetenov, Value in Health, 2021.
Forming COVID-19 Policy under Uncertainty, Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis, 2020
Addressing Partial Identification in Climate Modeling and Policy Analysis, with Alan Sanstad and Stephen DeCanio, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
Minimax-Regret Sample Design in Anticipation of Missing Data, with Application to Panel Data, with Jeff Dominitz, Journal of Econometrics
Tail and Center Rounding of Probabilistic Expectations in the Health and Retirement Study, with Pamela Giustinelli and Francesca Molinari, Journal of Econometrics
Precise or Imprecise Probabilities? Evidence from survey response on late-onset dementia, with Pamela Giustinelli and Francesca Molinari, Journal of the European Economic Association
Public Statements on Science in the Federal Government
Policy Analysis in a Post-Truth World, VOX, December 24, 2016
STATEMENT TO RESTORE SCIENCE-BASED POLICY IN GOVERNMENT, By Concerned Members of the U.S. National Academy of Sciences, April 2018
Link to NAS Open Letter History statement, July 2020
Science and Scientific Expertise are More Important than Ever, with R. Weymann and B. Santer, Scientific American, August 5, 2020.
Misguided Use of Observed Covariates to Impute Missing Covariates in Conditional Prediction: A Shrinkage Problem, with M. Gmeiner and A. Tambur
Links to Books
C. Manski, Patient Care under Uncertainty, Princeton University Press, 2019.
C. Manski, Public Policy in an Uncertain World: Analysis and Decisions, Harvard University Press, 2013
Link to video recording of Cemmap Masterclass on themes of the book in March 2013 (six 90-minute lectures)
C. Manski, Identification for Prediction and Decision, Harvard University Press, 2007
C. Manski, Social Choice with Partial Knowledge of Treatment Response, Princeton University Press, 2005.
C. Manski, Partial Identification of Probability Distributions, Springer-Verlag, 2003
C. Manski, J. Pepper, and C. Petrie (editors), Informing America's Policy on Illegal Drugs: What We Don't Know Keeps Hurting Us, National Academy Press, 2001 (book can be read online)
B. Fischhoff and C. Manski (editors), Elicitation of Preferences, Kluwer, 2000
C. Manski, Identification Problems in the Social Sciences, Harvard, 1995
C. Manski and I. Garfinkel (editors), Evaluating Welfare and Training Programs, Harvard, 1992
C. Manski, Analog Estimation Methods in Econometrics, Chapman & Hall, 1988
(out-of-print book can be downloaded for private use)
C. Manski and D. Wise College Choice in America, Harvard, 1983
C. Manski and D. McFadden (editors), Structural Analysis of Discrete Data with Econometric Applications, MIT Press, 1981 (out-of-print book can be downloaded for private use)
Samuil Manski, With God’s Help, 1990 (book can be downloaded for private use)
Economics 483, Applied Econometrics, Fall 2020 (Ph.D. field course)
The Survey of Economic Expectations