Charles F. Manski

Curriculum Vitae

Short Biography

Further information at charlesmanski.com

Autobiographical Reflections: Unlearning and Discovery, ET Interview

 

 

 

Forthcoming Articles

 

Econometrics for Decision Making: Building Foundations Sketched by Haavelmo and Wald, Econometrica

 

Addressing Partial Identification in Climate Modeling and Policy Analysis, with Alan Sanstad and Stephen DeCanio, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

 

Minimax-Regret Sample Design in Anticipation of Missing Data, with Application to Panel Data, with Jeff Dominitz, Journal of Econometrics

 

Tail and Center Rounding of Probabilistic Expectations in the Health and Retirement Study, with Pamela Giustinelli and Francesca Molinari, Journal of Econometrics

 

Precise or Imprecise Probabilities? Evidence from survey response on late-onset dementia, with Pamela Giustinelli and Francesca Molinari, Journal of the European Economic Association

 

Embracing Uncertainty: The Value of Partial Identification in Public Health and Clinical Research,” with John Mullahy, Atheendar Venkataramani, and Daniel Millimet, American Journal of Preventive Medicine.

 

 

Working Papers

 

Vaccination Planning under Uncertainty, with Application To Covid-19.

 

Misguided Use of Observed Covariates to Impute Missing Covariates in Conditional Prediction: A Shrinkage Problem, with M. Gmeiner and A. Tambur

 

The Quantile Performance of Statistical Treatment Rules Using Hypothesis Tests to Allocate a Population to Two Treatments, with Aleksey Tetenov

 

 

Links to Books

 

C. Manski, Patient Care under Uncertainty, Princeton University Press, 2019.

 

C. Manski, Public Policy in an Uncertain World: Analysis and Decisions, Harvard University Press, 2013

 

Link to video recording of public lecture on the book at the British Academy in March 2013, with discussion by Lord Gus O’Donnell

 

Link to video recording of Sargan Lecture to economists on themes of the book at the Royal Economic Society meeting in April 2013

 

Link to video recording of Cemmap Masterclass on themes of the book in March 2013  (six 90-minute lectures)

 

Link to video recording of interview at HEC Paris in May 2017

 

C. Manski, Identification for Prediction and Decision, Harvard University Press, 2007

 

C. Manski, Social Choice with Partial Knowledge of Treatment Response, Princeton University Press, 2005.

 

C. Manski, Partial Identification of Probability Distributions, Springer-Verlag, 2003

 

C. Manski, J. Pepper, and C. Petrie (editors), Informing America's Policy on Illegal Drugs: What We Don't Know Keeps Hurting Us, National Academy Press, 2001 (book can be read online)

 

B. Fischhoff and C. Manski (editors), Elicitation of Preferences, Kluwer, 2000

 

C. Manski, Identification Problems in the Social Sciences, Harvard, 1995

 

C. Manski and I. Garfinkel (editors), Evaluating Welfare and Training Programs, Harvard, 1992

 

C. Manski, Analog Estimation Methods in Econometrics, Chapman & Hall, 1988

(out-of-print book can be downloaded for private use)

 

C. Manski and D. Wise College Choice in America, Harvard, 1983

 

C. Manski and D. McFadden (editors), Structural Analysis of Discrete Data with Econometric Applications, MIT Press, 1981 (out-of-print book can be downloaded for private use)

 

Samuil Manski, With God’s Help, 1990 (book can be downloaded for private use)

 

Courses

 

Economics 480-1, Introduction to Econometrics, Fall 2020 (first-year Ph.D. course), past examinations

 

Economics 483, Applied Econometrics, Fall 2020 (Ph.D. field course)

 

 

The Survey of Economic Expectations

 

SEE Introduction,  SEE Data and Codebooks

ICPSR Data and Documentation

 

 

STATEMENT TO RESTORE SCIENCE-BASED POLICY IN GOVERNMENT, By Concerned Members of the U.S. National Academy of Sciences, April 2018

Link to NAS Open Letter History statement, July 2020