Charles
F. Manski
Curriculum
Vitae
Further information at charlesmanski.com
Autobiographical Reflections: Unlearning and Discovery, ET
Interview
COVID-19
Articles
COVID-19
Policy Must Take All Impacts into Account, Scientific
American, March 28, 2020
Estimating
the COVID-19 Infection Rate: Anatomy of an Inference Problem, with
Francesca Molinari, Journal of Econometrics, 2021
Adaptive
Diversification of COVID-19 Policy, VoxEU, June 12, 2020
Bounding
the Accuracy of Diagnostic Tests, with Application to COVID-19 Antibody Tests,
Epidemiology, 2021
Statistical
Decision Properties of Imprecise Trials Assessing COVID-19 Drugs, with
Aleksey Tetenov, Value in Health, 2021.
Coping
with COVID Uncertainties, presented at the 3rd IESR-GLO Joint Conference, June
2020 text, video
Forming COVID-19 Policy under Uncertainty, Journal of
Benefit-Cost Analysis, 2020
Vaccination Planning under
Uncertainty, with Application To Covid-19.
Forthcoming
Articles
Addressing Partial
Identification in Climate Modeling and Policy Analysis, with Alan Sanstad
and Stephen DeCanio, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
Minimax-Regret
Sample Design in Anticipation of Missing Data, with Application to Panel Data,
with Jeff Dominitz, Journal of Econometrics
Tail
and Center Rounding of Probabilistic Expectations in the Health and Retirement
Study, with Pamela Giustinelli and Francesca Molinari, Journal of
Econometrics
Precise or Imprecise
Probabilities? Evidence from survey response on late-onset dementia, with
Pamela Giustinelli and Francesca Molinari, Journal of the European Economic
Association
Public
Statements on Science in the Federal Government
Policy
Analysis in a Post-Truth World, VOX,
December 24, 2016
Trump
Administration’s Attacks on Science Are Taking a Grim Toll, with B. Santer
and R. Weymann, The Mercury News,
January 3, 2018
Speaking
Science to Power, with B. Santer and R. Weymann, Scientific American, April 23, 2018
STATEMENT
TO RESTORE SCIENCE-BASED POLICY IN GOVERNMENT, By
Concerned Members of the U.S. National Academy of Sciences, April 2018
Link
to NAS Open Letter History statement,
July 2020
Communicating Uncertainty in Policy Analysis, Proceedings
of the National Academy of Sciences, 2019.
WZB Distinguished
Lecture video, 2019
Science and Scientific Expertise are More
Important than Ever, with R. Weymann and B. Santer, Scientific
American, August 5, 2020.
Working Papers
Misguided Use of
Observed Covariates to Impute Missing Covariates in Conditional Prediction: A
Shrinkage Problem, with M. Gmeiner and A. Tambur
Econometrics for
Decision Making: Building Foundations Sketched by Haavelmo and Wald
The Quantile Performance of
Statistical Treatment Rules Using Hypothesis Tests to Allocate a Population to
Two Treatments, with Aleksey Tetenov
Links to Books
C. Manski,
Patient Care under
Uncertainty, Princeton University Press, 2019.
C.
Manski, Public Policy in
an Uncertain World: Analysis and Decisions,
Harvard University Press, 2013
Link to video recording of
Cemmap Masterclass on themes of the book in March 2013 (six 90-minute lectures)
Link to video
recording of interview at HEC Paris in May 2017
C. Manski, Identification for
Prediction and Decision, Harvard University
Press, 2007
C. Manski, Social Choice with
Partial Knowledge of Treatment Response,
Princeton University Press, 2005.
C. Manski, Partial
Identification of Probability Distributions,
Springer-Verlag, 2003
C. Manski, J. Pepper, and C.
Petrie (editors), Informing America's Policy on
Illegal Drugs: What We Don't Know Keeps Hurting Us, National Academy Press, 2001 (book can be read online)
B. Fischhoff and C. Manski
(editors), Elicitation
of Preferences, Kluwer, 2000
C. Manski, Identification
Problems in the Social Sciences, Harvard,
1995
C. Manski and I. Garfinkel
(editors), Evaluating Welfare
and Training Programs, Harvard, 1992
C. Manski, Analog Estimation Methods in
Econometrics, Chapman & Hall, 1988
(out-of-print book can be downloaded for private use)
C. Manski and D. Wise College Choice in
America, Harvard, 1983
C. Manski and D. McFadden
(editors), Structural
Analysis of Discrete Data with Econometric Applications, MIT Press, 1981 (out-of-print
book can be downloaded for private use)
Samuil Manski, With God’s Help, 1990 (book can be downloaded
for private use)
Courses
Economics
480-1, Introduction to Econometrics, Fall 2020
(first-year Ph.D. course), past examinations
Economics 483,
Applied Econometrics, Fall 2020 (Ph.D. field course)
The Survey of Economic
Expectations